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Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2
My base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2, where the Secondary Test (ST-B) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame VAL.
Green Zone:
We have confluence with VAL and Green TRP Zone from HTF ReAccumulation idea.
High Time Frame Wyckoff ReAccumulation Idea:
Yesterday, gold fell under pressure at 3150 and then tested the 3100 mark again in the evening, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative.
Don’t expect the market to turn to bearish and fall sharply at this point. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and now it is still a bullish trend, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to bearish.
If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative today.
The previous trend line support broke and turned into a pressure line, basically coinciding with the 3135-3138 pressure line. This morning's three consecutive positive waves just touched it. The key depends on the performance of the European session:
If the European session suppresses the decline and weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break.
If the European session continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149
In terms of trading,
1. Directly push up and break the high, aggressively chase long at 3132, stop profit at 3145;
2. Continue to buy after falling back to 3133, stop loss at 3125 if the callback is too large
3. The European session rebounded several times but failed to maintain sideways, lightly short at 3132 in the evening, and automatically stop profit at 3110 around midnight.
Trade 1 is a potential scalp long of we break structure on the 10m bullish. I will be watching the 30m block for resistance , if we flip bearish here with confirmation I will try a short but if not, I will hope my long up until the distribution range above.
Unlikely to have a video today or tomorrow. Potentially one on Friday.
ETHUSD
is on the verge of a major move. The price has reached a key support level that has historically triggered strong buying interest. This zone has acted as a demand area multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in once again.
The market structure suggests that a confirmed bounce from this level could ignite a significant recovery. If bulls hold the support, the first upside target is $2,400, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a sustained breakout beyond $2,400 could mark the beginning of a stronger rally, fueled by renewed buying momentum and increasing volume.
Given the prolonged bearish move leading into this setup, a retracement here could turn into a larger trend shift. However, a clean breakdown below support would invalidate this bullish bias and open the door for further downside.
🚀 If this rally takes off, we could see
ETHUSD
reclaiming higher levels in the coming weeks. What are your thoughts? Drop them in the comments! 🚀
BITCOIN: Time & Structure still have a GO !
Probably one of the most or the most controversial cycle of all time. The keys for any asset are Time and Structure. Bitcoin has still not fulfilled this. Can they fail? yes, but beyond noise, fake news, and hyped sentiment on both bears and bulls, nothing says Bitcoin is done on its mission.
Since the cycle started, I remember the TG groups saying mid/late 2025 is what I am getting on the time frame, and here we are waiting. I still believe that is the time frame. As shown in the chart, time is respected by BTC on all its consolidation and technical moves, so it's just a matter of waiting.
https://www.monarchlabs.io/
https://x.com/Monarch_Labs
https://discord.gg/ZSzHxB7Z
Don't worry, the good days are coming soon.
**** Yousef Sharafi ****
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